Lake Elmo 13AAA, Scouting Report
Record: 22-3 (Summer 2026) | Location: Lake Elmo, MN Staff: Brad Adams, Joel Jordan, Marlin Jones, Todd Drexel Source: GameChanger play-by-play, all 25 completed games parsed Prepared for: Chanhassen Storm 13AAA Blue | Generated: Jun 13, 2026
Bottom line up front
Lake Elmo is a juggernaut offense: roughly a .445 team batting average with deep, patient lineup and real gap power. Eight regulars hit .397 or better. They draw a lot of walks and rarely chase, so any pitcher who falls behind gets punished, and they pile up doubles and extra-base hits in bunches (most wins are blowouts: 18-0, 21-0, 17-0, 22-12, etc.).
The blueprint to beat them already exists. All three losses were low-scoring games to teams with a velocity arm pounding the zone: St Paul Highland beat them 5-0 and 3-2, and Prior Lake shut them out 4-0. When Lake Elmo is forced into a grind-it-out game, they can be held down. When the game speeds up, they win going away.
Offense
Team is loaded top to bottom. Key bats:
| Player | AVG | OBP | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie M | .515 | .566 | 68 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| Finn H | .508 | .600 | 61 | 31 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 |
| Holton J | .486 | .561 | 70 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 |
| Ryder D | .460 | .534 | 63 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 |
| Louie R | .452 | .541 | 62 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 |
| Joe S | .439 | .543 | 66 | 29 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 |
| Mason W | .397 | .500 | 68 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 |
| Boze J | .366 | .416 | 71 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 |
| Tommy T | .310 | .412 | 58 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 |
| Lou A | .255 | .465 | 51 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 |
Smaller samples (part-time but dangerous): Nick L (.714/.744, 35 AB, 2 2B/2 3B/2 HR) and Kamden J (.528/.561, 53 AB, 14 SO).
Most dangerous: Charlie M and Finn H. Charlie M is the doubles machine (13 2B); Finn H is the power/OBP threat (3 HR, .600 OBP). Holton J, Joe S, Louie R, and Ryder D round out a relentless top-and-middle.
Patience: They walk a ton. Lou A (17 BB), Joe S (13), Mason W (11), and Finn H (10) all run high walk rates. Lou A in particular is an OBP machine despite a .255 average (.465 OBP), a leadoff-type who will take his base.
Run game: They are aggressive on the bases with frequent steals in the play-by-play. Treat every baserunner as a stealing threat.
Where they can be beaten: Strikeout totals are real for several bats: Joe S (18), Boze J (14), Kamden J (14), Lou A (11). When ahead in the count, they will chase offspeed and elevated fastballs.
Pitching
Deep staff with multiple bat-missers. Innings are approximate (parsed from play-by-play); strikeout and walk totals are reliable.
| Pitcher | ~IP | SO | BB | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louie R | 22 | 35 | 6 | Workhorse ace, strikes, misses bats |
| Holton J | 20 | 44 | 6 | Highest swing-and-miss on the staff |
| Charlie M | 20 | 28 | 5 | Third high-strike, low-walk arm |
| Joe S | 17 | 22 | 14 | Bat-misser but wobblier command |
| Boze J | 16 | 19 | 10 | Misses bats, walks creep up |
| Ryder D | 14 | 12 | 6 | Contact-oriented |
| Tommy T | 8 | 7 | 9 | Wild, walk-prone |
Likely starters in a bracket game: Louie R or Holton J. Both throw strikes and miss a lot of bats, so the Storm must compete early in counts and avoid 0-2 holes. The more hittable path is their #4 and beyond (Joe S, Boze J, Tommy T), who walk more. Be patient against the back of the staff and make them throw strikes.
Game plan vs. Lake Elmo
- Throw strike one. They do not chase. Pitchers who fall behind get walked or barreled. Pound the zone early, expand only with two strikes.
- Offspeed when ahead. Several regulars (Joe S, Boze J, Kamden J, Lou A) carry high strikeout totals and will chase soft stuff and elevated fastballs out of the zone with two strikes.
- No-doubles outfield. Charlie M and Joe S alone have 26 doubles. Play the outfield deep in big spots and keep the ball in front.
- Control the run game. They steal aggressively. Hold runners, quick times to the plate, catcher ready to throw.
- Pick your spots to score. Best chance is to grind their secondary arms (Joe S, Boze J, Tommy T): work counts, take walks, and force them to throw strikes.
- Win the low-scoring game. Their only three losses were 5-0, 4-0, and 3-2 grinders against velocity and strikes. A track meet favors Lake Elmo. Our path is keeping it 3-2.
Recent form
Riding a long win streak into mid-June, including 15-1, 10-0, and 13-2 results in their last several. The three blemishes (St Paul Highland x2, Prior Lake x1) all came against pitching, and they avenged Prior Lake three times afterward.
Stats parsed from GameChanger play-by-play across 25 games. Batting AVG/OBP/SO/BB are reliable; pitching innings are approximate and hits-allowed per pitcher are not tracked (pitcher is not named on balls in play).